ACR Messina 3-1 Team Altamura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.35
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Team Altamura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Team Altamura 2-1 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
3-1
AWAY Team Altamura
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina saw off Team Altamura 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day ACR Messina made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ACR Messina had 37% of the ball to Team Altamura's 63%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Team Altamura?

ACR Messina 3-1 Team Altamura in the Italy - Serie C on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Team Altamura?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 37%, draw 29%, Team Altamura 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5
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