Team Altamura 2-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 34% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.16
+41% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Team Altamura
2-1
AWAY ACR Messina
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Team Altamura vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team Altamura nicked a narrow win over ACR Messina 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Team Altamura as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Team Altamura had 37% of the ball to ACR Messina's 63%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Team Altamura vs ACR Messina?

Team Altamura 2-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team Altamura vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Team Altamura win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Team Altamura 50%, draw 30%, ACR Messina 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Team Altamura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Team Altamura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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