US Latina 0-4 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.99/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.45
-15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-3 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.11.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
25.03.2023 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
27.11.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
07.05.2016 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
19.12.2015 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-4
AWAY Crotone
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone cruised past US Latina 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Crotone found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, US Latina had 55% of the ball to Crotone's 45%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for US Latina and 1.17 for Crotone.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Crotone?

US Latina 0-4 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split US Latina 34%, draw 27%, Crotone 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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