Foggia Calcio 1-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Casertana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Casertana Casertana 4-0 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
15.11.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
05.04.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-2 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
04.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.01.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
04.11.2020 Casertana Casertana 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-1
AWAY Casertana
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio and Casertana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 39% of the ball to Casertana's 61%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.33 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Casertana?

Foggia Calcio 1-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 34%, draw 26%, Casertana 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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