Salernitana 2-3 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.05/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
-28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-3
AWAY Audace Cerignola
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola nicked a narrow win over Salernitana 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salernitana had 40% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 60%, shots finished 12-21.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Audace Cerignola?

Salernitana 2-3 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 45%, draw 28%, Audace Cerignola 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salernitana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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