Sorrento Calcio 3-3 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
3-3
AWAY Casarano
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and Casarano shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 42% of the ball to Casarano's 58%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Casarano?

Sorrento Calcio 3-3 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 39%, draw 27%, Casarano 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sorrento Calcio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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