Crotone 1-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.36
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2025 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-0
AWAY Atalanta II
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past Atalanta II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 54% of the ball to Atalanta II's 46%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Atalanta II?

Crotone 1-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crotone 50%, draw 23%, Atalanta II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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