Atalanta II 1-2 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.62
+84% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-2
AWAY Crotone
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past Atalanta II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Crotone found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta II had 46% of the ball to Crotone's 54%, shots finished 11-17.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Crotone?

Atalanta II 1-2 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 40%, draw 22%, Crotone 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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