Vukovar vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vukovar v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Vukovar vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Vukovar 3-2 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Vukovar squeezed past Istra 1961 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Vukovar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Vukovar had 37% of the ball to Istra 1961's 63%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 3.19 to 1.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vukovar's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vukovar and 1.00 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Vukovar vs Istra 1961?
Vukovar 3-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated an Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 33%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.