FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
12%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.84
X/2
14%
5.62
X/X
9%
4.22
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.84
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 12% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
1.43/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.8 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.03.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
20.07.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
07.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
16.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
20.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.72 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
395 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
47 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Kashima Antlers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 58% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 42%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.72 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.50 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

FC Tokyo 1-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 31%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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