FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.43
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
10%
6.95
X/2
14%
4.46
X/X
9%
4.15
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.92
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.10/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.03
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.0 Crosses 18.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
300 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
20.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
01.10.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
29.05.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
23.10.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
09.05.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
2-0
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.54 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo beat Kashima Antlers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 45% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 55%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.54 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.67 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 33%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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