Vissel Kobe 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

Vissel Kobe
1-2 HT 0-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
8%
4.23
X/2
8%
9.0
X/X
12%
5.88
2/1
5%
20.85
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.25
2/X
4%
14.6
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.25 — our 18% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vissel Kobe v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.63
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.7 Crosses 17.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1

Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
304 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-3 HT 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
05.11.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.08.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
02.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
27.11.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Vissel Kobe 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
1-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.27 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
218 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Vissel Kobe 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 42% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 58%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.27 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vissel Kobe.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vissel Kobe and 2.00 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Vissel Kobe 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 49%, draw 21%, Yokohama F. Marinos 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
7 Apr 2024
07:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
08:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
08:00 Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
09:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
09:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →