Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.25
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
20%
4.84
X/2
16%
6.2
X/X
12%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
8%
4.6
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
1.21/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.27
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
13.8 Crosses 28.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.30 xG 1.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
473 Passes 158
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Machida Zelvia edged past Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 away from home in the Japan - J1 League on 7 Apr 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 70% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 30%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.30 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5
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