Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

Kyoto Sanga
0-3 HT 0-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.18
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.96
X/2
11%
6.38
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.55
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kyoto Sanga v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 34%
-39% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.21/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.31
-45% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
21.8 Crosses 20.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 365
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.11.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
05.03.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-4 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
07.11.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
21.03.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
04.10.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
28.06.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2

Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-3
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.98 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 14
228 Passes 163
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata ran out comfortable winners over Kyoto Sanga 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 54% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 46%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 0.98 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.67 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata?

Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 40%, draw 29%, Jubilo Iwata 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5
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