Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.85
X/1
27%
3.64
X/2
9%
12.85
X/X
13%
5.46
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
7%
10.6
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.71/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.6 Crosses 16.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 293
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.08.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
27.05.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
10.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.04.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.11.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.04.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
3.83 xG 0.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
29 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 6
297 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Shonan Bellmare 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 57% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 43%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 3.83 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.50 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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