Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.63
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.42
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.78
X/2
17%
4.95
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.55
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.39/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.08
+61% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.5 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
28.09.2019 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
20.07.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.81 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and Kashiwa Reysol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 51% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 49%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.00 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 35%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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