Kashima Antlers 2-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
7%
7.63
X/X
16%
4.09
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.49/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.1 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 307
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
07.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
16.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
20.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
01.10.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
29.05.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
2-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.53 xG 1.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
193 Passes 337
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers beat FC Tokyo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 41% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 59%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.53 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.50 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo?

Kashima Antlers 2-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 42%, draw 32%, FC Tokyo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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