Vissel Kobe 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
7.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.45
X/1
19%
4.2
X/2
7%
6.17
X/X
11%
3.26
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.9
2/X
10%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.06
+6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.8 Crosses 20.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.08 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 233
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
15.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.06.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.02.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
01.10.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
10.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.60 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
335 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Vissel Kobe 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 55% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 45%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Vissel Kobe 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 46%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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