Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Mar 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1 HT 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.52
X/2
14%
6.21
X/X
9%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
24.7
2/2
20%
4.01
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 6% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.64/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.22
+22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.9 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.74 xG 1.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
476 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-3 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
13.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
15.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
14.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.56 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
451 Passes 347
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Shonan Bellmare shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 55% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 45%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.56 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.17 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 37%, draw 23%, Shonan Bellmare 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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