Shonan Bellmare 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2024

Shonan Bellmare
2-3 HT 1-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
9%
5.97
X/2
15%
7.71
X/X
12%
5.92
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.73
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.61
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.3 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.67 xG 2.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 487
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
15.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
14.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
01.10.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Shonan Bellmare 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Shonan Bellmare 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Yokohama F. Marinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 36% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 64%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shonan Bellmare 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 36%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
30 Nov 2024
08:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
08:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
08:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
08:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs FC Tokyo Analysis →