Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.54
Over 2.5
29%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.15
6+ Goals
5%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.9
X/1
17%
7.53
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
5.16
X/X
21%
4.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
4%
3.53
2/X
3%
15.35
Value flag · X/2 at 5.16 — our 23% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.0pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.34/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.09
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.4 Crosses 20.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 360
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JPK
02.03.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
19.08.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
20.05.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
30.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
13.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.42 xG 1.96
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
121 Passes 391
57% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 30% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 70%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.42 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 33%, draw 35%, Vissel Kobe 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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