Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 37%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
262 Passes 389
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
19.08.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
20.05.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
30.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
13.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JPK
18.06.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 2-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 50% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 50%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 46%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ BTTS Yes
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