Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 57%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.00/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/0.97
-39% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
236 Passes 462
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
05.10.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
21.11.2018 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
29.07.2017 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
04.03.2017 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
17.07.2016 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-3 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-2
AWAY Kashima Antlers
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers edged past Ventforet Kofu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 37% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 63%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.50 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Kashima Antlers?

Ventforet Kofu 1-2 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 30%, draw 25%, Kashima Antlers 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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