Sagan Tosu 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.48/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+45% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +79%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
0-2
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi beat Sagan Tosu 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Renofa Yamaguchi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 58% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 42%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Sagan Tosu 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 39%, draw 25%, Renofa Yamaguchi 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sagan Tosu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
21 Aug 2024
13:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
13:00 JEF United vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
13:00 Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
13:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Oita Trinita Analysis →