Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.33/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.08
+26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
15.08.2015 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
06.06.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-2 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
17.08.2014 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
24.10.2009 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
14.03.2009 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
28.08.2008 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga got the better of Oita Trinita 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kyoto Sanga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 55% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 45%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.33 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Oita Trinita?

Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 46%, draw 27%, Oita Trinita 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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