V-Varen Nagasaki 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
36%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.33
No
52%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.85
2-3 Goals
40%
2.29
4-5 Goals
23%
2.4
6+ Goals
11%
4.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
49%
-12.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
71%
-23.2pp
52%
BTTS No
29%
+23.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-75% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.13 xG 2.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
139 Passes 448
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
10.04.2019 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 2-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK
10.11.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
19.05.2018 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 5-2 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
37% Ball Possession 63%
2 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past V-Varen Nagasaki 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Yokohama F. Marinos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 37% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 63%, shots finished 2-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 2.25 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 38%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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