Cerezo Osaka 0-2 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2024

Cerezo Osaka
0-2 HT 0-2
Kashima Antlers
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
11%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.27
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
16%
7.28
X/2
14%
5.56
X/X
15%
4.56
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.57
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerezo Osaka v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.18
+4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.7 Crosses 18.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 232
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
16.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
07.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
29.04.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
13.04.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK

Cerezo Osaka 0-2 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0-2
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.85 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
370 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers beat Cerezo Osaka 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 60% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 40%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.85 to 1.18 — on chances, Cerezo Osaka could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 2.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?

Cerezo Osaka 0-2 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 33%, draw 31%, Kashima Antlers 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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