Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2024

Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 HT 1-0
Urawa Red Diamonds
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
6.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.35
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
11%
5.38
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.12
2/X
10%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avispa Fukuoka v Urawa Red Diamonds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.94/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.23
-28% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.5 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1

Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
212 Passes 499
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
20.05.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
05.11.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
28.05.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.75 xG 1.71
25% Ball Possession 75%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
145 Passes 636
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka edged past Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 25% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 75%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.71 — on chances, Urawa Red Diamonds could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 39%, draw 29%, Urawa Red Diamonds 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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