Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
10%
8.18
X/X
6%
5.12
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
14%
5.94
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.70/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
+34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.7 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
09.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
12.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 HT 2-3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
03.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.76 xG 1.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
349 Passes 151
76% Pass Accuracy 57%
26 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 63% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 37%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.76 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.17 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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