Bogota 0-2 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 7 Mar 2024

Bogota
0-2 HT 0-1
Once Caldas
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2024

Bogota vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bogota v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bogota EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.76
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bogota vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas got the better of Bogota 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Bogota vs Once Caldas?

Bogota 0-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bogota vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bogota win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bogota 40%, draw 24%, Once Caldas 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bogota) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bogota) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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