Tigres FC 2-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.9
Over 2.5
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.05.2023 Tigres FC Tigres FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLK
05.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-0 HT 1-0 Tigres FC Tigres FC KOLK
POST-MATCH Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres FC edged past Union Magdalena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tigres FC and 0.50 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena?

Tigres FC 2-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tigres FC 52%, draw 28%, Union Magdalena 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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