Santa Fe 3-1 Boca Juniors de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 7 Mar 2024

Santa Fe
3-1 HT 1-1
Boca Juniors de Cali
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2024

Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.4
No
71%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-8.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.3pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
29%
BTTS Yes
38%
-8.0pp
71%
BTTS No
62%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Boca Juniors de Cali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors de Cali EU Bookmakers 11%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.19/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/1.76
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe got the better of Boca Juniors de Cali 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors de Cali?

Santa Fe 3-1 Boca Juniors de Cali in the Colombia - Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 65%, draw 20%, Boca Juniors de Cali 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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