Dundalk 2-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.01/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Treaty United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.07.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-2
AWAY Treaty United
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dundalk had 61% of the ball to Treaty United's 39%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Treaty United?

Dundalk 2-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 54%, draw 24%, Treaty United 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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