Kerry 0-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.63
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 37% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.72/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
+19% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
8 Corners 6
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
12.07.2024 Kerry 3-3 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
26.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
23.02.2024 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.09.2023 Kerry 1-3 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-1 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Kerry 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kerry at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerry and 2.67 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry 0-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kerry 44%, draw 24%, Bray Wanderers 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kerry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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