Univ College Dublin 1-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.64
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
192 Passes 250
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-3 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
28.10.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
12.08.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-1
AWAY Finn Harps
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Finn Harps couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 67% of the ball to Finn Harps's 33%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 46%, draw 27%, Finn Harps 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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