Univ College Dublin 2-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.9
No
66%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 39% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
49%
-14.6pp
66%
BTTS No
51%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
176 Passes 238
57% Pass Accuracy 63%
8 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-3 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
28.10.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
12.08.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
13.05.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin beat Finn Harps 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Univ College Dublin 2-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 50%, draw 25%, Finn Harps 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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