Treaty United 1-3 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.7
No
63%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.62
6+ Goals
7%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 34% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
55%
-17.9pp
63%
BTTS No
45%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.57
-36% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
10.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
05.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
08.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
28.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.06.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-3
AWAY Wexford Youths
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths beat Treaty United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Wexford Youths made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Treaty United had 52% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 48%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Treaty United and 1.50 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Treaty United 1-3 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 33%, draw 28%, Wexford Youths 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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