Treaty United 2-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 34% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
0.99/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.45
-24% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
08.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
28.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.06.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
31.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
21.10.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
2-2
AWAY Wexford Youths
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United and Wexford Youths couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Treaty United had 47% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Treaty United and 1.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Treaty United 2-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 35%, draw 32%, Wexford Youths 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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