Athlone Town 2-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.99/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
+68% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
06.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.04.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.09.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
2-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Bray Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athlone Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 41% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Athlone Town and 1.67 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Athlone Town 2-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 41%, draw 26%, Bray Wanderers 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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