Athlone Town 0-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.83/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.36
+36% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.06.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
10.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
05.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
06.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
0-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Athlone Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bray Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 57% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 43%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athlone Town and 1.50 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Athlone Town 0-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 38%, draw 28%, Bray Wanderers 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athlone Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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