Bray Wanderers 1-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.66/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.61
+19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
05.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
06.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.04.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers edged past Athlone Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.17 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Bray Wanderers 1-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 45%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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