Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.37
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.08
-22% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
02.01.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
2-1
AWAY Real Murcia
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II squeezed past Real Murcia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 50% of the ball to Real Murcia's 50%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.00 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 44%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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