Cagliari 1-1 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Mar 2025

Cagliari
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Genoa
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.31
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
15%
4.87
6+
3%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.56
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.16
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
23%
3.57
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
5%
13.45
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Cagliari v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cagliari The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 33%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Cagliari vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genoa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 368
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 1-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
29.04.2024 Genoa Genoa 3-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
05.11.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
01.03.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTB
07.10.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
24.04.2022 Genoa Genoa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 1-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1 - 1
AWAY Genoa
0.68 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
268 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cagliari vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari and Genoa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Cagliari had 47% of the ball to Genoa's 53%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.68 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Genoa.

Cagliari vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Cagliari 1 - 1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 38%, draw 34%, Genoa 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cagliari), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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