Mönchengladbach 1-3 Mainz 05 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.77
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.06
6+
6%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.81
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
12%
6.13
X/2
13%
5.92
X/X
17%
4.78
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.6
2/X
6%
11.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mönchengladbach The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Mainz 05
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
410 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.03.2024 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.10.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
24.02.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 4-0 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.09.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
03.04.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1 - 3
AWAY Mainz 05
1.37 xG 1.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
503 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 saw off Mönchengladbach 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

From a near-even 35% / 29% / 36% read, it was Mainz 05 who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Mönchengladbach's favour, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.37 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Mönchengladbach against 1.67 for Mainz 05.

Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Result & Final Score

Mönchengladbach 1 - 3 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 35%, draw 29%, Mainz 05 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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