Kaiserslautern 1-1 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 30% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.99
1/2
10%
23.85
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
9%
6.34
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
15%
5.18
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.29
2/X
8%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.74/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.98
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.7 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Elversberg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.68 xG 1.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.02.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
18.08.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-2 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
18.07.2018 Elversberg Elversberg 2-3 HT 1-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
1-1
AWAY Elversberg
1.20 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
290 Passes 283
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern and Elversberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 52% of the ball to Elversberg's 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.75 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Elversberg?

Kaiserslautern 1-1 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 32%, draw 28%, Elversberg 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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