Kickers Emden 1-3 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.46/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.52
-18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-2 HT 1-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 6-1 HT 4-1 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II got the better of Kickers Emden 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kickers Emden at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kickers Emden and 3.00 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II?

Kickers Emden 1-3 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 55%, draw 18%, Hamburg II 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kickers Emden), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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