Hamburg II 1-2 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
37%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
23%
+16.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
55%
-17.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.94/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-18% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Emden
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 6-1 HT 4-1 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
1-2
AWAY Kickers Emden
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Emden nicked a narrow win over Hamburg II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kickers Emden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamburg II had 54% of the ball to Kickers Emden's 46%, shots finished 14-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Hamburg II and 1.00 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Kickers Emden?

Hamburg II 1-2 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 39%, draw 24%, Kickers Emden 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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