Schweinfurt 1-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Illertissen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 0-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-2 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
18.02.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
09.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 4-3 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt nicked a narrow win over Illertissen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Schweinfurt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Schweinfurt and 2.00 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Illertissen?

Schweinfurt 1-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 44%, draw 32%, Illertissen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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