Illertissen 1-3 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.25/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.87
+24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Schweinfurt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-2 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
18.02.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
09.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 4-3 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt got the better of Illertissen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Illertissen and 1.50 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Schweinfurt?

Illertissen 1-3 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 53%, draw 24%, Schweinfurt 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Illertissen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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