Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.68/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.80
+41% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
17.05.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-5 HT 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-0
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 59% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 41%, shots finished 4-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 0.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 44%, draw 30%, Dire Dawa Kenema 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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